Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 100.172305 110.721804 121.563509 133.515079 146.297077 159.534597 174.256910
2024-12-29 85.287095 101.013785 117.959221 137.477214 159.238431 182.657967 209.668897
2025-01-05 75.241089 93.736140 114.354677 138.842942 166.929389 197.936073 234.550031
2025-01-12 67.301248 87.647573 111.008723 139.484278 172.919747 210.605346 255.953624
2025-01-19 58.928792 80.119512 105.147770 136.408891 173.918969 217.001065 269.726314
2025-01-26 55.645820 78.350406 105.783287 140.714822 183.341378 233.012916 294.586443
2025-02-02 52.139842 75.942314 105.335147 143.449610 190.696103 246.488962 316.463428
2025-02-09 48.334246 72.815628 103.704072 144.473220 195.778286 257.135298 334.939757
2025-02-16 46.472103 72.059289 104.936696 148.978016 205.096066 272.907952 359.669692
2025-02-23 43.744813 69.921368 104.202011 150.828976 211.002044 284.479781 379.338265
2025-03-02 39.810998 65.843831 100.666717 148.832484 211.857046 289.690701 391.141925
2025-03-09 36.880765 62.969045 98.555680 148.535590 214.753725 297.359856 405.951635
2025-03-16 34.167794 60.289057 96.642745 148.495487 218.057382 305.707814 421.901546
2025-03-23 33.124134 60.007029 98.020950 152.903088 227.246013 321.646481 447.595675
2025-03-30 31.243465 58.323181 97.310239 154.365099 232.485465 332.528476 466.948440
2025-04-06 29.288180 56.384169 96.115849 155.058996 236.634036 341.983651 484.518020
2025-04-13 26.360949 52.700070 92.189333 151.737185 235.201920 344.063315 492.546507
2025-04-20 25.824410 52.835151 93.881537 156.387536 244.663380 360.475386 519.193431
2025-04-27 24.878386 52.226201 94.409120 159.339525 251.796421 373.863947 542.016191
2025-05-04 23.533288 50.853739 93.701895 160.444132 256.342383 383.830919 560.433023
2025-05-11 23.177608 51.150351 95.551816 165.303493 266.170423 400.920695 588.316508
2025-05-18 22.174975 50.249299 95.485377 167.299263 271.970585 412.641662 609.210978
2025-05-25 20.320085 47.702153 92.707734 165.146554 271.816513 416.285108 619.408647